Tax Policy in the Midterms

Republicans are betting that the tax cuts they passed in 2025 will help them hold Congress in the midterms, but the law has yet to deliver a sustained political boost. While voters favor some individual tax breaks, many remain unfamiliar with the broader legislation, giving both parties an opening to define what the tax law means for voters.

What you’ll learn

• How Republicans are promoting tax cuts on tips, overtime and other income as they make their case to voters ahead of the midterms
• What recent polling reveals about voters’ awareness of the 2025 tax law, who they believe benefited and how they prioritize tax relief against funding for programs like Medicaid and SNAP
• How Democrats are countering the GOP’s tax message by linking the law’s tax cuts to reductions in health and food assistance programs and sharpening their anti-corruption argument

Why this matters

Tax policy is emerging as a key battleground in the fight for control of Congress, with Republicans trying to turn their signature legislative achievement into an electoral advantage and Democrats working to make the law a liability. POLITICO Pro helps policy professionals track the tax proposals, voter sentiment and political strategies shaping the 2026 midterms and the future of federal tax policy.

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